In the post-industrial reality of today's world one single event at one end of the world may have a huge impact on the entire global economy. At CFA Society Poland Annual Seminar 2019 we will strive to look into the future not only by discussing forecasts and research results, but also by actively using an innovative analytical tool – wargames.
The focal pointo of our meeting on 11 October will be the game facilitated by John Hulsman designed to engage members of CFA Society Poland and our guests. The topic of the game involves the current climate in trade in the context of Trump, tariffs and China. This fascinating experience will let you take a different perspective on forecasts and analytics. John Hulsman has facilitated similar games with blue chip private sector banking and hedge fund clients as well as governments around the world.
Apart from the wargame the seminar will let you listen to prof. Eugeniusz Gatnar from Monetary Policy Council, Fitch Ratings forecasts for Poland and the region, report findings done by CFA Society Poland and SpotData as well as two interesting workshops: about the influence of AI as well as biology on investment decision-making.
This year's CFA Society Poland Annual Seminar is dedicated to the local CFA community in Poland and Baltic states (CFA Society Poland members take priority) as well as invited guests. Other people interested in paid paritipation (800 PLN net) are kindly asked to contact: email@example.com.
Venue: Warsaw Stock Exchange (GPW), ul. Książęca 4, Warsaw, room: Sala Notowań
Date: 11 October 2019
8:30–9:00 Registration and morning coffee
9:00 Welcoming remarks
9:10 Lecture: Co nas czeka po drugiej stronie zera?
9:40 Lecture: Economic Outlook for Poland and CEE
10:20–10:40 Coffee break
10:40 Report presentation: Future of Financial Markets by CFA Society Poland and SpotData
11:10 Workshop: Progression Beyond Regression: Using AI to Transform Traditional analysis
12:20–12:30 Coffee break
12:30 Workshop: How Your Biology Influences Your Investment Decision-Making
14:10 Workshop: A War Game around the current climate in Trade with Trump, Tariffs & China being the central components
17:20 Closing remarks & launch of CFA Society Poland Mentoring Program
President of CFA Society Poland
Monetary Policy Council
He specialises in the application of econometric methods and statistical financial analysis. He has authored over 170 scientific papers, textbooks, scientific monographs, and articles. He was awarded individual prizes by the Minister of Science and Higher Education for his doctoral thesis (1994) and postdoctoral thesis (2000) as well as for his scientific monograph. He has led many research projects and fulfilled the role of supervisor for 9 doctoral proceedings.
He has had numerous academic internships abroad, including in École Supérieure de Commerce in Toulouse, the University of Strathclyde in Glasgow, the University of Cambridge and the Arnhem Business School. He has also given lectures on financial data analysis at the University of Central Switzerland in Lucerne.
In 2002-2005, he served as Vice-Dean for Academic Affairs, then, until 2008, he was Vice-Dean for Scientific Affairs, and in 2008-2010 he was Dean at the Faculty of Management of the Academy of Economics in Katowice. In 2000-2010, he was a member of the Main Council of the Polish Statistical Association, and in 2007-2015 he was a representative of NBP in the Statistical Council. He is currently a member of the Programme Council of the quarterly publication “Bank i Kredyt” and chairman of the Programme Council of “Gazeta Bankowa”.
In 2007-2010, he was an adviser to the President of Narodowy Bank Polski, then in 2010-2016 he was a Member of the Management Board of Narodowy Bank Polski.
On 13 January 2016, the Senate of the Republic of Poland appointed Prof. Eugeniusz Gatnar to the Monetary Policy Council.
Director, Sovereigns and Supernationals
Prior to that, he worked as a political risk analyst in the UK, at Verisk Maplecroft and Exclusive Analysis (now part of IHS). Arvind started his career as a television journalist in India, working with CNBC and CNN-IBN. He has a Master’s degree in History of International Relations from the London School of Economics, and a Post-Graduate Diploma in Mass Communication, and a Bachelor of Engineering from universities in India.
Vice-President, Portfolio Management and Portfolio Manager
Signature Global Asset Management
Focus Consulting Group
Michael is also the author of the CFA Institute Research Foundation Monograph “Let’s All Learn How to Fish… to Sustain Long-term Economic Growth” (www.letsalllearnhowtofish.com), and part of the CFA Institute’s Approved Speaker List. He teaches for the CFA Society of Chicago in their Claritas program, and has taught at DePaul University in their Certified Financial Planner (CFP) Certificate Program.
Political economy expert, columnist at City AM
War game facilitator
An outstanding and practiced speaker, John has given more than 1,310 high level briefings at the invitation of the US Department of State, the Pentagon, the National Security Council, the CIA, the House International Relations Committee and the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, and governments around the world. John is also a widely read Senior Columnist at CityAM, the newspaper of the city of London, writing prolifically on foreign affairs and political risk. His articles can be found here: http://www.cityam.com/profile/john-hulsman.
Building on his Washington experience, he is a cutting-edge facilitator of war games, a powerful analytical tool. These are simulated exercises played by well-briefed individuals to test assumptions and illuminate a range of likely foreign policy outcomes that will constitute the real world conditions that must be mastered in the times ahead. John has designed, played and facilitated over 100 war games for blue chip private sector banking and hedge fund clients as well as governments around the world.
Previously, John has served as Senior Research Fellow in think tanks in Washington, Germany and Holland. A life member of the US Council on Foreign Relations, the pre-eminent global foreign policy institution, he has written over 720 articles, participated in over 1540 interviews, and given over 530 speeches on foreign affairs topics around the world. His last four books (“To Dare More Boldly: The Audacious Story of Political Risk”, “To Begin the World Over Again,” a biography of Lawrence of Arabia, “The Godfather Doctrine,” and “Ethical Realism”) have all been international best sellers
Founder of SpotData.pl
CFA Society Poland is one of the 146 member societies of CFA Institute. It was established on April 14th, 2004. There are local member societies in more than 70 countries/territories, and have more than 135,000 members in 150 countries/territories.
The Society promotes the highest ethical standards in Polish investment community. CFA Society Poland gathers professionals involved in broadly defined investment and financial management. This group includes portfolio managers, financial analysts, investment advisors, risk managers and many other finance professionals.
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